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| | Loss Cost Ratio Epidemic Not Exclusive to California By Robert Warne - April 19, 2001Early reports out of Orlando, FL from the "Annual Issues Symposium" cast a shady picture of the state of Workers’ Comp in the US. The symposium, hosted by the National Council on Compensation Insurance (NCCI), kicked off Wednesday, April 18 with that sobering analysis.
Prior to the symposium, NCCI President and CEO Bill Schrempf commented that, "Reserves are deteriorating and seem to be very deficient. Reported results are getting worse."
NCCI had initially reported that 1999 accident year loss cost ratio for Workers’ Comp reached 134%, the highest level in 15 years. Now NCCI has revised its initial 1999 estimate to 137%, with its 2000 estimate in the neighborhood of 136%.
The factors driving these trends are being attributed to decline in claim frequency, fierce competition and over-reliance on rating bureau forecasts.
All said, the national Workers' Comp picture is starting to be more representative of California. NCCI estimates that the Workers’ Comp Industry in the US is under-reserved by $20 Billion. |